UTL

UTL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($52.03)
DCF$-335.70-745.2%
Graham Number$47.67-8.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM$37.70-27.5%
EV/EBITDA$52.04+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$84.36M
Rev: 26.7% / EPS: 8.6%
Computed: 6.04%
Computed WACC: 6.04%
Cost of equity (Re)6.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.46 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.67%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)50.05%
Debt weight (D/V)49.95%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-625.16
Current Price$52.03
Upside / Downside-1301.5%
Net Debt (used)$918.20M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term18.7%22.7%26.7%30.7%34.7%
7.0%$-370.52$-425.94$-488.92$-560.22$-640.65
8.0%$-305.07$-348.73$-398.32$-454.44$-517.70
9.0%$-260.17$-295.77$-336.19$-381.91$-433.42
10.0%$-227.56$-257.33$-291.11$-329.29$-372.29
11.0%$-202.90$-228.26$-257.02$-289.51$-326.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.97
Yahoo: $34.01

Results

Graham Number$47.67
Current Price$52.03
Margin of Safety-8.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.04%
Computed WACC: 6.04%
Cost of equity (Re)6.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.46 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.67%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)50.05%
Debt weight (D/V)49.95%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$52.03
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth26.7%
Historical Earnings Growth8.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$84.36M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.83

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$37.70
Current Price$52.03
Upside / Downside-27.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $191.60M
Current: 9.7×
Default: $918.20M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$52.04
Current Price$52.03
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$1.85B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.08B-$81.80M$918.20M$1.92B$2.92B
5.7x$120.63$65.03$9.42$-46.18$-101.79
7.7x$141.94$86.34$30.73$-24.87$-80.48
9.7x$163.25$107.64$52.04$-3.57$-59.17
11.7x$184.56$128.95$73.35$17.74$-37.86
13.7x$205.86$150.26$94.65$39.05$-16.56