UTMD

UTMD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($67.09)
DCF$26.84-60.0%
Graham Number$54.14-19.3%
Reverse DCF
DDM$25.54-61.9%
EV/EBITDA$67.09-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -1.2% / EPS: -6.4%
Computed: 6.08%
Computed WACC: 6.08%
Cost of equity (Re)6.08%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.32 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.90%
Debt weight (D/V)0.10%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$26.84
Current Price$67.09
Upside / Downside-60.0%
Net Debt (used)-$85.53M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$26.84$26.84$26.84$26.84$26.84
8.0%$26.84$26.84$26.84$26.84$26.84
9.0%$26.84$26.84$26.84$26.84$26.84
10.0%$26.84$26.84$26.84$26.84$26.84
11.0%$26.84$26.84$26.84$26.84$26.84

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.48
Yahoo: $37.43

Results

Graham Number$54.14
Current Price$67.09
Margin of Safety-19.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.08%
Computed WACC: 6.08%
Cost of equity (Re)6.08%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.32 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.90%
Debt weight (D/V)0.10%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$67.09
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-1.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-6.4%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$25.54
Current Price$67.09
Upside / Downside-61.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $14.34M
Current: 8.9×
Default: -$85.53M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$67.09
Current Price$67.09
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$128.23M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.09B-$1.09B-$85.53M$914.47M$1.91B
4.9x$676.78$362.93$49.08$-264.77$-578.62
6.9x$685.79$371.94$58.08$-255.77$-569.62
8.9x$694.79$380.94$67.09$-246.76$-560.61
10.9x$703.80$389.94$76.09$-237.76$-551.61
12.9x$712.80$398.95$85.10$-228.75$-542.61