UTZ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($9.09)
DCF	$-5.73	-163.1%
Graham Number	$1.35	-85.1%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 30.5%
DDM	$5.15	-43.3%
EV/EBITDA	$16.43	+80.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $22.90M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 0.4% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 6.47%

Computed WACC: 6.47%

Cost of equity (Re)9.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)5.33%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)43.84%

Debt weight (D/V)56.16%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-2.80

Current Price$9.09

Upside / Downside-130.8%

Net Debt (used)$908.80M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-5.69	$-4.76	$-3.69	$-2.44	$-1.00
8.0%	$-6.51	$-5.76	$-4.89	$-3.89	$-2.74
9.0%	$-7.07	$-6.45	$-5.73	$-4.90	$-3.94
10.0%	$-7.49	$-6.96	$-6.34	$-5.64	$-4.82
11.0%	$-7.81	$-7.34	$-6.81	$-6.20	$-5.50

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.01

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $8.16

Results

Graham Number$1.35

Current Price$9.09

Margin of Safety-85.1%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 6.47%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 6.47%

Cost of equity (Re)9.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)5.33%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)43.84%

Debt weight (D/V)56.16%

Results

Current Price$9.09

Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.5%

Historical Revenue Growth0.4%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$22.90M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.25

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$5.15

Current Price$9.09

Upside / Downside-43.3%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $92.70M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 25.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: $908.80M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$16.43

Current Price$9.09

Upside / Downside+80.8%

Implied EV$2.36B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.09B	-$91.20M	$908.80M	$1.91B	$2.91B
21.5x	$34.85	$23.54	$12.23	$0.93	$-10.38
23.5x	$36.95	$25.64	$14.33	$3.02	$-8.29
25.5x	$39.04	$27.74	$16.43	$5.12	$-6.19
27.5x	$41.14	$29.83	$18.52	$7.22	$-4.09
29.5x	$43.24	$31.93	$20.62	$9.31	$-2.00

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