UVE

UVE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($36.35)
DCF$-12029084847.23-33092393077.2%
Graham Number$44.03+21.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM$13.18-63.7%
EV/EBITDA$35.12-3.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$39.45M
Rev: 6.0% / EPS: 994.3%
Computed: 7.86%
Computed WACC: 7.86%
Cost of equity (Re)8.13%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.70 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.11%
Debt weight (D/V)8.89%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-15991221093.47
Current Price$36.35
Upside / Downside-43992355240.2%
Net Debt (used)-$308.39M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term986.3%990.3%994.3%998.3%1002.3%
7.0%$-19698261398.97$-20063609086.70$-20434357719.70$-20810566959.65$-21192296905.96
8.0%$-14852681125.43$-15128156829.14$-15407704897.83$-15691370316.97$-15979198402.10
9.0%$-11590929155.24$-11805908468.20$-12024065826.14$-12245436335.41$-12470055359.93
10.0%$-9271824799.76$-9443791203.47$-9618299791.02$-9795378644.70$-9975056052.83
11.0%$-7556614878.67$-7696768928.88$-7838994879.94$-7983315619.15$-8129754201.74

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.38
Yahoo: $19.67

Results

Graham Number$44.03
Current Price$36.35
Margin of Safety+21.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.86%
Computed WACC: 7.86%
Cost of equity (Re)8.13%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.70 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.11%
Debt weight (D/V)8.89%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$36.35
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth6.0%
Historical Earnings Growth994.3%
Base FCF (TTM)-$39.45M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.64

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$13.18
Current Price$36.35
Upside / Downside-63.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $255.94M
Current: 2.6×
Default: -$308.39M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$35.12
Current Price$36.35
Upside / Downside-3.4%
Implied EV$676.69M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.31B-$1.31B-$308.39M$691.61M$1.69B
-1.4x$69.93$34.27$-1.38$-37.03$-72.68
0.6x$88.17$52.52$16.87$-18.78$-54.43
2.6x$106.42$70.77$35.12$-0.53$-36.18
4.6x$124.67$89.02$53.37$17.72$-17.93
6.6x$142.92$107.27$71.62$35.97$0.31