UVV

UVV — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($53.46)
DCF$-24.41-145.7%
Graham Number$67.37+26.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 35.6%
DDM$67.57+26.4%
EV/EBITDA$55.16+3.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $24.00M
Rev: -8.1% / EPS: -44.3%
Computed: 8.89%
Computed WACC: 8.89%
Cost of equity (Re)7.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)12.89%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)54.44%
Debt weight (D/V)45.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-24.11
Current Price$53.46
Upside / Downside-145.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.03B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-24.26$-20.81$-16.80$-12.16$-6.81
8.0%$-27.30$-24.52$-21.30$-17.57$-13.28
9.0%$-29.40$-27.09$-24.41$-21.31$-17.76
10.0%$-30.94$-28.97$-26.69$-24.06$-21.03
11.0%$-32.13$-30.41$-28.43$-26.15$-23.54

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.39
Yahoo: $59.50

Results

Graham Number$67.37
Current Price$53.46
Margin of Safety+26.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.89%
Computed WACC: 8.89%
Cost of equity (Re)7.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)12.89%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)54.44%
Debt weight (D/V)45.56%

Results

Current Price$53.46
Implied Near-term FCF Growth35.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-8.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-44.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$24.00M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.28

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$67.57
Current Price$53.46
Upside / Downside+26.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $283.43M
Current: 8.5×
Default: $1.03B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.16
Current Price$53.46
Upside / Downside+3.2%
Implied EV$2.40B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.03B$1.03B$1.03B$1.03B$1.03B
4.5x$9.68$9.68$9.68$9.68$9.68
6.5x$32.42$32.42$32.42$32.42$32.42
8.5x$55.16$55.16$55.16$55.16$55.16
10.5x$77.91$77.91$77.91$77.91$77.91
12.5x$100.65$100.65$100.65$100.65$100.65