UWMC

UWMC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.16)
DCF$4787063.62+115073544.8%
Graham Number$1.42-66.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -7.7%
DDM$8.24+98.1%
EV/EBITDA$9.27+122.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.82B
Rev: 301.0% / EPS: 277.8%
Computed: 4.74%
Computed WACC: 4.74%
Cost of equity (Re)14.99%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)31.60%
Debt weight (D/V)68.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$19310458.02
Current Price$4.16
Upside / Downside+464193602.3%
Net Debt (used)$13.96B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term293.0%297.0%301.0%305.0%309.0%
7.0%$7283859.17$7662141.94$8055980.71$8465850.42$8892235.55
8.0%$5519005.78$5805627.82$6104036.37$6414591.28$6737659.62
9.0%$4328262.53$4553041.45$4787063.62$5030611.24$5283972.18
10.0%$3479501.68$3660199.03$3848326.82$4044111.89$4247785.65
11.0%$2850052.67$2998058.86$3152151.09$3312515.16$3479340.61

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.12
Yahoo: $0.74

Results

Graham Number$1.42
Current Price$4.16
Margin of Safety-66.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.74%
Computed WACC: 4.74%
Cost of equity (Re)14.99%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)31.60%
Debt weight (D/V)68.40%

Results

Current Price$4.16
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth301.0%
Historical Earnings Growth277.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.82B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$8.24
Current Price$4.16
Upside / Downside+98.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $832.80M
Current: 20.0×
Default: $13.96B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.27
Current Price$4.16
Upside / Downside+122.7%
Implied EV$16.63B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$7.96B$10.96B$13.96B$16.96B$19.96B
16.0x$18.52$8.12$-2.29$-12.70$-23.11
18.0x$24.30$13.90$3.49$-6.92$-17.33
20.0x$30.08$19.67$9.27$-1.14$-11.55
22.0x$35.86$25.45$15.04$4.64$-5.77
24.0x$41.64$31.23$20.82$10.42$0.01