VALU

VALU — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($36.77)
DCF$16.25-55.8%
Graham Number$23.88-35.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 27.4%
DDM$26.78-27.2%
EV/EBITDA$36.77-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.22M
Rev: -3.2% / EPS: 0.1%
Computed: 10.85%
Computed WACC: 10.85%
Cost of equity (Re)10.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.16%
Debt weight (D/V)0.84%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$14.48
Current Price$36.77
Upside / Downside-60.6%
Net Debt (used)-$78.49M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$16.32$17.92$19.80$21.96$24.46
8.0%$14.90$16.19$17.70$19.44$21.44
9.0%$13.92$15.00$16.25$17.69$19.35
10.0%$13.20$14.12$15.18$16.41$17.82
11.0%$12.65$13.45$14.37$15.43$16.65

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.26
Yahoo: $11.22

Results

Graham Number$23.88
Current Price$36.77
Margin of Safety-35.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.85%
Computed WACC: 10.85%
Cost of equity (Re)10.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.16%
Debt weight (D/V)0.84%

Results

Current Price$36.77
Implied Near-term FCF Growth33.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.2%
Historical Earnings Growth0.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$4.22M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.30

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$26.78
Current Price$36.77
Upside / Downside-27.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.61M
Current: 40.4×
Default: -$78.49M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$36.77
Current Price$36.77
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$266.78M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.08B-$1.08B-$78.49M$921.51M$1.92B
36.4x$246.95$140.45$33.95$-72.54$-179.04
38.4x$248.36$141.86$35.36$-71.14$-177.63
40.4x$249.77$143.27$36.77$-69.73$-176.23
42.4x$251.17$144.68$38.18$-68.32$-174.82
44.4x$252.58$146.08$39.58$-66.91$-173.41