VC

VC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($95.24)
DCF$185.62+94.9%
Graham Number$121.15+27.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -7.5%
DDM$30.90-67.6%
EV/EBITDA$97.07+1.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $269.12M
Rev: 1.0% / EPS: -90.3%
Computed: 9.67%
Computed WACC: 9.67%
Cost of equity (Re)10.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.16 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.45%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.77%
Debt weight (D/V)14.23%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$169.25
Current Price$95.24
Upside / Downside+77.7%
Net Debt (used)-$340.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$187.11$222.43$263.51$311.07$365.84
8.0%$156.03$184.46$217.48$255.65$299.55
9.0%$134.50$158.17$185.62$217.31$253.72
10.0%$118.69$138.88$162.27$189.23$220.17
11.0%$106.58$124.13$144.42$167.78$194.55

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $11.15
Yahoo: $58.51

Results

Graham Number$121.15
Current Price$95.24
Margin of Safety+27.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.67%
Computed WACC: 9.67%
Cost of equity (Re)10.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.16 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.45%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.77%
Debt weight (D/V)14.23%

Results

Current Price$95.24
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-6.1%
Historical Revenue Growth1.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-90.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$269.12M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.50

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.90
Current Price$95.24
Upside / Downside-67.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $440.00M
Current: 5.2×
Default: -$340.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$97.07
Current Price$95.24
Upside / Downside+1.9%
Implied EV$2.31B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.34B-$1.34B-$340.00M$660.00M$1.66B
1.2x$105.87$69.22$32.57$-4.08$-40.73
3.2x$138.12$101.47$64.82$28.17$-8.48
5.2x$170.37$133.72$97.07$60.42$23.77
7.2x$202.62$165.97$129.32$92.67$56.02
9.2x$234.87$198.22$161.57$124.92$88.28