VGM

VGM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.47)
DCF$-1.55-114.8%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 29.1%
DDM$16.07+53.4%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $12.66M
Rev: 0.8% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1.55
Current Price$10.47
Upside / Downside-114.8%
Net Debt (used)$306.22M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-1.51$-0.68$0.29$1.42$2.72
8.0%$-2.25$-1.58$-0.79$0.11$1.15
9.0%$-2.76$-2.20$-1.55$-0.80$0.06
10.0%$-3.13$-2.65$-2.10$-1.46$-0.73
11.0%$-3.42$-3.00$-2.52$-1.97$-1.34

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.57
Yahoo: $10.00

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$10.47
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$10.47
Implied Near-term FCF Growth29.1%
Historical Revenue Growth0.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$12.66M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.78

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$16.07
Current Price$10.47
Upside / Downside+53.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $306.22M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-5.65
Current Price$10.47
Upside / Downside-153.9%
Implied EV$0