VICI

VICI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.84)
DCF$8.07-73.0%
Graham Number$39.23+31.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.1%
DDM$36.46+22.2%
EV/EBITDA$30.76+3.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.47B
Rev: 3.8% / EPS: -3.4%
Computed: 5.24%
Computed WACC: 5.24%
Cost of equity (Re)8.14%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.70 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.33%
Debt weight (D/V)35.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$41.55
Current Price$29.84
Upside / Downside+39.2%
Net Debt (used)$17.13B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$8.28$13.19$18.91$25.53$33.15
8.0%$3.95$7.91$12.50$17.81$23.92
9.0%$0.96$4.25$8.07$12.48$17.55
10.0%$-1.24$1.57$4.82$8.57$12.88
11.0%$-2.93$-0.49$2.34$5.59$9.31

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.63
Yahoo: $26.01

Results

Graham Number$39.23
Current Price$29.84
Margin of Safety+31.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.24%
Computed WACC: 5.24%
Cost of equity (Re)8.14%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.70 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.33%
Debt weight (D/V)35.67%

Results

Current Price$29.84
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.6%
Historical Revenue Growth3.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-3.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.47B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.77

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$36.46
Current Price$29.84
Upside / Downside+22.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.65B
Current: 13.7×
Default: $17.13B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$30.76
Current Price$29.84
Upside / Downside+3.1%
Implied EV$50.00B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$9.13B$13.13B$17.13B$21.13B$25.13B
9.7x$24.58$20.83$17.09$13.35$9.61
11.7x$31.41$27.67$23.92$20.18$16.44
13.7x$38.24$34.50$30.76$27.01$23.27
15.7x$45.07$41.33$37.59$33.85$30.10
17.7x$51.91$48.16$44.42$40.68$36.94