VIRC

VIRC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($6.33)
DCF$-10.45-265.0%
Graham Number$6.49+2.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM$2.06-67.5%
EV/EBITDA$6.33+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$8.51M
Rev: -42.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 5.79%
Computed WACC: 5.79%
Cost of equity (Re)5.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.22 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.19%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.47%
Debt weight (D/V)29.53%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-19.80
Current Price$6.33
Upside / Downside-412.9%
Net Debt (used)$15.29M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-10.53$-12.46$-14.71$-17.31$-20.31
8.0%$-8.83$-10.38$-12.19$-14.28$-16.68
9.0%$-7.65$-8.94$-10.45$-12.18$-14.17
10.0%$-6.78$-7.89$-9.17$-10.64$-12.34
11.0%$-6.12$-7.08$-8.19$-9.47$-10.93

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.26
Yahoo: $7.21

Results

Graham Number$6.49
Current Price$6.33
Margin of Safety+2.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.79%
Computed WACC: 5.79%
Cost of equity (Re)5.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.22 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.19%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.47%
Debt weight (D/V)29.53%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$6.33
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-42.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$8.51M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.10

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.06
Current Price$6.33
Upside / Downside-67.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $11.41M
Current: 10.1×
Default: $15.29M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.33
Current Price$6.33
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$115.06M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.98B-$984.71M$15.29M$1.02B$2.02B
6.1x$130.33$66.88$3.43$-60.01$-123.46
8.1x$131.78$68.33$4.88$-58.56$-122.01
10.1x$133.22$69.78$6.33$-57.12$-120.56
12.1x$134.67$71.22$7.78$-55.67$-119.12
14.1x$136.12$72.67$9.23$-54.22$-117.67