VLGEA

VLGEA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($40.37)
DCF$12.98-67.8%
Graham Number$53.60+32.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 15.4%
DDM$20.60-49.0%
EV/EBITDA$54.28+34.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $20.09M
Rev: 4.5% / EPS: -5.8%
Computed: 6.09%
Computed WACC: 6.09%
Cost of equity (Re)6.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.76%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.19%
Debt weight (D/V)35.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$40.21
Current Price$40.37
Upside / Downside-0.4%
Net Debt (used)$214.61M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$13.27$20.04$27.91$37.02$47.51
8.0%$7.32$12.76$19.09$26.40$34.81
9.0%$3.19$7.72$12.98$19.06$26.03
10.0%$0.16$4.03$8.51$13.68$19.60
11.0%$-2.16$1.20$5.09$9.57$14.70

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.76
Yahoo: $33.96

Results

Graham Number$53.60
Current Price$40.37
Margin of Safety+32.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.09%
Computed WACC: 6.09%
Cost of equity (Re)6.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.76%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)64.19%
Debt weight (D/V)35.81%

Results

Current Price$40.37
Implied Near-term FCF Growth5.0%
Historical Revenue Growth4.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-5.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$20.09M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.60
Current Price$40.37
Upside / Downside-49.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $109.26M
Current: 7.2×
Default: $214.61M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$54.28
Current Price$40.37
Upside / Downside+34.4%
Implied EV$791.47M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.79B-$785.39M$214.61M$1.21B$2.21B
3.2x$201.33$107.24$13.16$-80.93$-175.02
5.2x$221.89$127.80$33.72$-60.37$-154.46
7.2x$242.45$148.36$54.28$-39.81$-133.90
9.2x$263.01$168.92$74.84$-19.25$-113.34
11.2x$283.57$189.48$95.39$1.31$-92.78