VLRS

VLRS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.88)
DCF$53.38+577.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -8.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$78.72+899.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $503.97M
Rev: 5.7% / EPS: -90.1%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$53.51
Current Price$7.88
Upside / Downside+579.1%
Net Debt (used)$3.08B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-2.3%1.7%5.7%9.7%13.7%
7.0%$54.53$70.91$89.95$111.97$137.31
8.0%$39.95$53.12$68.41$86.07$106.36
9.0%$29.86$40.81$53.51$68.16$84.98
10.0%$22.45$31.79$42.59$55.04$69.32
11.0%$16.78$24.88$34.25$45.03$57.38

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.91
Yahoo: $0.23

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$7.88
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$7.88
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-8.5%
Historical Revenue Growth5.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-90.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$503.97M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$7.88
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $331.03M
Current: 36.7×
Default: $3.08B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$78.72
Current Price$7.88
Upside / Downside+899.0%
Implied EV$12.13B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.08B$2.08B$3.08B$4.08B$5.08B
32.7x$84.60$75.90$67.21$58.51$49.81
34.7x$90.36$81.66$72.96$64.27$55.57
36.7x$96.12$87.42$78.72$70.02$61.33
38.7x$101.88$93.18$84.48$75.78$67.09
40.7x$107.64$98.94$90.24$81.54$72.84