VMC

VMC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($306.20)
DCF$18.57-93.9%
Graham Number$109.34-64.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 37.6%
DDM$42.85-86.0%
EV/EBITDA$306.39+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $409.04M
Rev: 3.2% / EPS: -13.8%
Computed: 9.02%
Computed WACC: 9.02%
Cost of equity (Re)10.12%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.12%
Debt weight (D/V)10.88%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$18.40
Current Price$306.20
Upside / Downside-94.0%
Net Debt (used)$4.76B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$19.04$30.26$43.31$58.41$75.80
8.0%$9.17$18.20$28.68$40.81$54.75
9.0%$2.33$9.85$18.57$28.63$40.20
10.0%$-2.69$3.72$11.15$19.71$29.54
11.0%$-6.53$-0.96$5.48$12.90$21.40

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $8.14
Yahoo: $65.28

Results

Graham Number$109.34
Current Price$306.20
Margin of Safety-64.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.02%
Computed WACC: 9.02%
Cost of equity (Re)10.12%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.12%
Debt weight (D/V)10.88%

Results

Current Price$306.20
Implied Near-term FCF Growth37.7%
Historical Revenue Growth3.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-13.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$409.04M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.08

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$42.85
Current Price$306.20
Upside / Downside-86.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.31B
Current: 19.4×
Default: $4.76B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$306.39
Current Price$306.20
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$44.77B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.76B$3.76B$4.76B$5.76B$6.76B
15.4x$250.91$243.25$235.59$227.93$220.27
17.4x$286.31$278.65$270.99$263.33$255.67
19.4x$321.71$314.05$306.39$298.73$291.07
21.4x$357.11$349.45$341.79$334.13$326.47
23.4x$392.51$384.85$377.19$369.53$361.87