VMD

VMD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($8.69)
DCF$13.62+56.7%
Graham Number$5.18-40.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$8.90+2.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $10.17M
Rev: 24.0% / EPS: -9.8%
Computed: 10.29%
Computed WACC: 10.29%
Cost of equity (Re)11.04%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.23 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.17%
Debt weight (D/V)6.83%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$10.92
Current Price$8.69
Upside / Downside+25.6%
Net Debt (used)$13.57M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term16.0%20.0%24.0%28.0%32.0%
7.0%$15.13$17.86$20.99$24.53$28.53
8.0%$11.99$14.15$16.62$19.41$22.57
9.0%$9.84$11.61$13.62$15.90$18.47
10.0%$8.28$9.76$11.44$13.35$15.50
11.0%$7.09$8.35$9.79$11.42$13.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.34
Yahoo: $3.51

Results

Graham Number$5.18
Current Price$8.69
Margin of Safety-40.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.29%
Computed WACC: 10.29%
Cost of equity (Re)11.04%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.23 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.17%
Debt weight (D/V)6.83%

Results

Current Price$8.69
Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth24.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-9.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$10.17M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$8.69
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $46.72M
Current: 7.5×
Default: $13.57M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$8.90
Current Price$8.69
Upside / Downside+2.4%
Implied EV$351.93M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.99B-$986.42M$13.57M$1.01B$2.01B
3.5x$56.59$30.29$3.98$-22.32$-48.62
5.5x$59.05$32.75$6.44$-19.86$-46.16
7.5x$61.51$35.20$8.90$-17.40$-43.71
9.5x$63.96$37.66$11.36$-14.95$-41.25
11.5x$66.42$40.12$13.82$-12.49$-38.79