VMI

VMI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($458.90)
DCF$64706.78+14000.4%
Graham Number$177.69-61.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 25.7%
DDM$57.89-87.4%
EV/EBITDA$460.42+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $169.37M
Rev: 0.1% / EPS: 135.3%
Computed: 9.85%
Computed WACC: 9.85%
Cost of equity (Re)10.89%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.44%
Debt weight (D/V)9.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$54149.83
Current Price$458.90
Upside / Downside+11699.9%
Net Debt (used)$768.45M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term127.3%131.3%135.3%139.3%143.3%
7.0%$90202.44$98417.22$107219.84$116641.31$126713.69
8.0%$68925.51$75201.34$81926.16$89123.65$96818.30
9.0%$54518.18$59481.16$64799.11$70490.76$76575.48
10.0%$44207.85$48231.37$52542.60$57156.71$62089.38
11.0%$36528.81$39852.69$43414.18$47225.81$51300.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $16.79
Yahoo: $83.58

Results

Graham Number$177.69
Current Price$458.90
Margin of Safety-61.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.85%
Computed WACC: 9.85%
Cost of equity (Re)10.89%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.44%
Debt weight (D/V)9.56%

Results

Current Price$458.90
Implied Near-term FCF Growth28.4%
Historical Revenue Growth0.1%
Historical Earnings Growth135.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$169.37M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.81

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$57.89
Current Price$458.90
Upside / Downside-87.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $609.76M
Current: 16.0×
Default: $768.45M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$460.42
Current Price$458.90
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$9.76B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.23B-$231.55M$768.45M$1.77B$2.77B
12.0x$437.95$386.76$335.57$284.38$233.19
14.0x$500.37$449.18$397.99$346.80$295.61
16.0x$562.80$511.61$460.42$409.23$358.04
18.0x$625.23$574.04$522.85$471.66$420.47
20.0x$687.65$636.46$585.27$534.08$482.89