VNO

VNO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($27.58)
DCF$470995966052.99+1707744619381.5%
Graham Number$48.80+76.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -5.0%
DDM$15.24-44.7%
EV/EBITDA$38.07+38.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.27B
Rev: -8.1% / EPS: 1263.5%
Computed: 12.02%
Computed WACC: 12.02%
Cost of equity (Re)12.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)14.65%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.04%
Debt weight (D/V)57.96%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$252773129594.60
Current Price$27.58
Upside / Downside+916508809162.5%
Net Debt (used)$7.08B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1255.5%1259.5%1263.5%1267.5%1271.5%
7.0%$778180002138.49$789729780967.24$801416292343.72$813240746726.25$825204361696.10
8.0%$586496887021.10$595201697233.60$604009559710.47$612921386747.06$621938096007.16
9.0%$457495784729.88$464285955324.22$471156511639.50$478108165309.96$485141632157.45
10.0%$365798025610.37$371227214331.30$376720676730.81$382278981807.35$387902701907.62
11.0%$297995718530.84$302418582654.39$306893807039.61$311421855218.50$316003193450.71

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.20
Yahoo: $25.20

Results

Graham Number$48.80
Current Price$27.58
Margin of Safety+76.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.02%
Computed WACC: 12.02%
Cost of equity (Re)12.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)14.65%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.04%
Debt weight (D/V)57.96%

Results

Current Price$27.58
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-8.1%
Historical Earnings Growth1263.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.27B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.74

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.24
Current Price$27.58
Upside / Downside-44.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $788.11M
Current: 18.2×
Default: $7.08B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$38.07
Current Price$27.58
Upside / Downside+38.0%
Implied EV$14.34B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.08B$5.08B$7.08B$9.08B$11.08B
14.2x$42.51$32.02$21.53$11.04$0.56
16.2x$50.78$40.29$29.80$19.31$8.82
18.2x$59.05$48.56$38.07$27.58$17.09
20.2x$67.31$56.82$46.34$35.85$25.36
22.2x$75.58$65.09$54.60$44.11$33.62