VPG

VPG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($46.07)
DCF$33.04-28.3%
Graham Number$15.10-67.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$49.97+8.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $14.61M
Rev: 10.9% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.55%
Computed WACC: 8.55%
Cost of equity (Re)9.17%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.89 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.22%
Debt weight (D/V)6.78%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$35.46
Current Price$46.07
Upside / Downside-23.0%
Net Debt (used)-$42.89M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.9%6.9%10.9%14.9%18.9%
7.0%$34.33$40.32$47.25$55.22$64.34
8.0%$28.55$33.34$38.87$45.22$52.49
9.0%$24.57$28.53$33.09$38.33$44.32
10.0%$21.65$25.01$28.87$33.30$38.36
11.0%$19.43$22.32$25.66$29.47$33.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.40
Yahoo: $25.33

Results

Graham Number$15.10
Current Price$46.07
Margin of Safety-67.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.55%
Computed WACC: 8.55%
Cost of equity (Re)9.17%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.89 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.22%
Debt weight (D/V)6.78%

Results

Current Price$46.07
Implied Near-term FCF Growth15.9%
Historical Revenue Growth10.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$14.61M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$46.07
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $25.19M
Current: 22.6×
Default: -$42.89M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$49.97
Current Price$46.07
Upside / Downside+8.5%
Implied EV$569.59M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.04B-$1.04B-$42.89M$957.11M$1.96B
18.6x$204.93$123.34$41.75$-39.84$-121.43
20.6x$209.04$127.45$45.86$-35.73$-117.32
22.6x$213.16$131.56$49.97$-31.62$-113.21
24.6x$217.27$135.68$54.08$-27.51$-109.10
26.6x$221.38$139.79$58.20$-23.40$-104.99