VSTS

VSTS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.86)
DCF$-9.51-220.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 62.3%
DDM$2.88-63.3%
EV/EBITDA$7.86-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.37M
Rev: -3.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.71%
Computed WACC: 7.71%
Cost of equity (Re)9.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.03%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.42%
Debt weight (D/V)57.58%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-9.29
Current Price$7.86
Upside / Downside-218.2%
Net Debt (used)$1.37B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-9.50$-9.33$-9.12$-8.89$-8.62
8.0%$-9.65$-9.51$-9.35$-9.16$-8.95
9.0%$-9.76$-9.64$-9.51$-9.35$-9.17
10.0%$-9.83$-9.73$-9.62$-9.49$-9.34
11.0%$-9.89$-9.81$-9.71$-9.59$-9.46

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.37
Yahoo: $6.55

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$7.86
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.71%
Computed WACC: 7.71%
Cost of equity (Re)9.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.03%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.42%
Debt weight (D/V)57.58%

Results

Current Price$7.86
Implied Near-term FCF Growth56.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$6.37M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.14

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.88
Current Price$7.86
Upside / Downside-63.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $210.91M
Current: 11.4×
Default: $1.37B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$7.86
Current Price$7.86
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$2.40B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.37B$1.37B$1.37B$1.37B$1.37B
7.4x$1.47$1.47$1.47$1.47$1.47
9.4x$4.66$4.66$4.66$4.66$4.66
11.4x$7.86$7.86$7.86$7.86$7.86
13.4x$11.06$11.06$11.06$11.06$11.06
15.4x$14.25$14.25$14.25$14.25$14.25