VTR

VTR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($86.64)
DCF$89.17+2.9%
Graham Number$17.90-79.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 21.0%
DDM$42.85-50.5%
EV/EBITDA$87.07+0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.21B
Rev: 21.4% / EPS: 10.1%
Computed: 7.30%
Computed WACC: 7.30%
Cost of equity (Re)8.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.76 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.61%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.69%
Debt weight (D/V)24.31%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$136.83
Current Price$86.64
Upside / Downside+57.9%
Net Debt (used)$12.48B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.4%17.4%21.4%25.4%29.4%
7.0%$100.20$123.01$149.07$178.71$212.31
8.0%$74.92$92.96$113.56$136.98$163.51
9.0%$57.54$72.32$89.17$108.33$130.01
10.0%$44.90$57.30$71.44$87.50$105.66
11.0%$35.31$45.92$58.00$71.72$87.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.54
Yahoo: $26.38

Results

Graham Number$17.90
Current Price$86.64
Margin of Safety-79.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.30%
Computed WACC: 7.30%
Cost of equity (Re)8.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.76 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.61%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.69%
Debt weight (D/V)24.31%

Results

Current Price$86.64
Implied Near-term FCF Growth15.2%
Historical Revenue Growth21.4%
Historical Earnings Growth10.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.21B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.08

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$42.85
Current Price$86.64
Upside / Downside-50.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.21B
Current: 24.3×
Default: $12.48B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$87.07
Current Price$86.64
Upside / Downside+0.5%
Implied EV$53.84B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$6.48B$9.48B$12.48B$15.48B$18.48B
20.3x$81.07$74.75$68.44$62.12$55.80
22.3x$90.39$84.07$77.76$71.44$65.12
24.3x$99.71$93.39$87.07$80.76$74.44
26.3x$109.03$102.71$96.39$90.08$83.76
28.3x$118.35$112.03$105.71$99.40$93.08