VTRS

VTRS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($15.70)
DCF$25.61+63.2%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -0.3%
DDM$9.89-37.0%
EV/EBITDA$15.69-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.43B
Rev: 5.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.05%
Computed WACC: 6.05%
Cost of equity (Re)8.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.80 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.55%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)55.22%
Debt weight (D/V)44.78%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$56.79
Current Price$15.70
Upside / Downside+261.7%
Net Debt (used)$13.19B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$25.93$33.49$42.29$52.47$64.19
8.0%$19.28$25.37$32.43$40.60$50.00
9.0%$14.67$19.74$25.61$32.40$40.19
10.0%$11.29$15.61$20.62$26.39$33.01
11.0%$8.70$12.45$16.80$21.80$27.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-3.13
Yahoo: $12.78

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$15.70
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.05%
Computed WACC: 6.05%
Cost of equity (Re)8.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.80 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.55%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)55.22%
Debt weight (D/V)44.78%

Results

Current Price$15.70
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-9.1%
Historical Revenue Growth5.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$2.43B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.89
Current Price$15.70
Upside / Downside-37.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.96B
Current: 7.9×
Default: $13.19B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$15.69
Current Price$15.70
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$31.26B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$7.19B$10.19B$13.19B$16.19B$19.19B
3.9x$7.16$4.55$1.95$-0.66$-3.26
5.9x$14.03$11.43$8.82$6.22$3.61
7.9x$20.90$18.30$15.69$13.09$10.49
9.9x$27.78$25.17$22.57$19.96$17.36
11.9x$34.65$32.05$29.44$26.84$24.23