WAB

WAB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($263.67)
DCF$192.58-27.0%
Graham Number$100.18-62.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 19.7%
DDM$21.84-91.7%
EV/EBITDA$263.96+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.22B
Rev: 14.8% / EPS: -3.8%
Computed: 8.56%
Computed WACC: 8.56%
Cost of equity (Re)9.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.37%
Debt weight (D/V)11.63%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$210.50
Current Price$263.67
Upside / Downside-20.2%
Net Debt (used)$5.17B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term6.8%10.8%14.8%18.8%22.8%
7.0%$206.49$251.28$302.82$361.84$429.14
8.0%$160.91$196.56$237.54$284.43$337.85
9.0%$129.49$158.86$192.58$231.13$275.02
10.0%$106.57$131.36$159.80$192.29$229.24
11.0%$89.13$110.46$134.89$162.78$194.48

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.83
Yahoo: $65.31

Results

Graham Number$100.18
Current Price$263.67
Margin of Safety-62.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.56%
Computed WACC: 8.56%
Cost of equity (Re)9.68%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.37%
Debt weight (D/V)11.63%

Results

Current Price$263.67
Implied Near-term FCF Growth18.3%
Historical Revenue Growth14.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-3.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.22B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.06

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$21.84
Current Price$263.67
Upside / Downside-91.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.44B
Current: 20.6×
Default: $5.17B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$263.96
Current Price$263.67
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$50.18B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.17B$4.17B$5.17B$6.17B$7.17B
16.6x$218.56$212.70$206.84$200.97$195.11
18.6x$247.12$241.26$235.40$229.53$223.67
20.6x$275.69$269.82$263.96$258.09$252.23
22.6x$304.25$298.38$292.52$286.65$280.79
24.6x$332.81$326.94$321.08$315.21$309.35