WLFC

WLFC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($195.01)
DCF$-2613.68-1440.3%
Graham Number$178.54-8.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM$32.96-83.1%
EV/EBITDA$212.99+9.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$265.21M
Rev: 26.1% / EPS: -3.6%
Computed: 5.83%
Computed WACC: 5.83%
Cost of equity (Re)8.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.76 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.15%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)39.78%
Debt weight (D/V)60.22%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5252.56
Current Price$195.01
Upside / Downside-2793.5%
Net Debt (used)$2.24B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term18.1%22.1%26.1%30.1%34.1%
7.0%$-2887.01$-3332.67$-3839.46$-4413.53$-5061.41
8.0%$-2364.24$-2715.51$-3114.74$-3566.72$-4076.57
9.0%$-2005.53$-2292.14$-2617.67$-2986.03$-3401.34
10.0%$-1745.03$-1984.76$-2256.88$-2564.63$-2911.43
11.0%$-1547.91$-1752.23$-1984.02$-2246.00$-2541.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $16.66
Yahoo: $85.04

Results

Graham Number$178.54
Current Price$195.01
Margin of Safety-8.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.83%
Computed WACC: 5.83%
Cost of equity (Re)8.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.76 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.15%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)39.78%
Debt weight (D/V)60.22%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$195.01
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth26.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-3.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$265.21M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.60

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$32.96
Current Price$195.01
Upside / Downside-83.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $382.01M
Current: 9.7×
Default: $2.24B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$212.99
Current Price$195.01
Upside / Downside+9.2%
Implied EV$3.69B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$242.33M$1.24B$2.24B$3.24B$4.24B
5.7x$282.25$135.50$-11.26$-158.01$-304.76
7.7x$394.37$247.62$100.87$-45.89$-192.64
9.7x$506.50$359.74$212.99$66.24$-80.52
11.7x$618.62$471.87$325.11$178.36$31.61
13.7x$730.74$583.99$437.24$290.48$143.73