WMS

WMS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($168.33)
DCF$175.96+4.5%
Graham Number$59.74-64.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.7%
DDM$14.83-91.2%
EV/EBITDA$168.62+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $466.32M
Rev: 0.4% / EPS: 14.4%
Computed: 10.34%
Computed WACC: 10.34%
Cost of equity (Re)11.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.30 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.07%
Debt weight (D/V)9.93%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$141.86
Current Price$168.33
Upside / Downside-15.7%
Net Debt (used)$437.48M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term6.4%10.4%14.4%18.4%22.4%
7.0%$186.90$223.43$265.47$313.63$368.57
8.0%$149.94$179.03$212.46$250.74$294.37
9.0%$124.47$148.43$175.96$207.44$243.29
10.0%$105.87$126.11$149.33$175.87$206.07
11.0%$91.72$109.14$129.10$151.89$177.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.01
Yahoo: $26.39

Results

Graham Number$59.74
Current Price$168.33
Margin of Safety-64.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.34%
Computed WACC: 10.34%
Cost of equity (Re)11.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.30 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.07%
Debt weight (D/V)9.93%

Results

Current Price$168.33
Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.4%
Historical Revenue Growth0.4%
Historical Earnings Growth14.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$466.32M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.72

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$14.83
Current Price$168.33
Upside / Downside-91.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $900.11M
Current: 15.1×
Default: $437.48M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$168.62
Current Price$168.33
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$13.57B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.56B-$562.52M$437.48M$1.44B$2.44B
11.1x$148.07$135.23$122.39$109.56$96.72
13.1x$171.18$158.34$145.51$132.67$119.83
15.1x$194.29$181.45$168.62$155.78$142.94
17.1x$217.40$204.56$191.73$178.89$166.05
19.1x$240.51$227.67$214.84$202.00$189.16