WNC

WNC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($9.28)
DCF$126.72+1266.2%
Graham Number$32.19+247.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$6.59-28.9%
EV/EBITDA$9.89+6.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $317.35M
Rev: -22.9% / EPS: —
Computed: 5.84%
Computed WACC: 5.84%
Cost of equity (Re)13.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)43.94%
Debt weight (D/V)56.06%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$258.69
Current Price$9.28
Upside / Downside+2689.2%
Net Debt (used)$447.43M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$127.90$156.01$188.70$226.54$270.12
8.0%$103.18$125.79$152.07$182.44$217.38
9.0%$86.04$104.87$126.72$151.94$180.91
10.0%$73.46$89.53$108.14$129.59$154.21
11.0%$63.83$77.79$93.93$112.52$133.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.07
Yahoo: $9.09

Results

Graham Number$32.19
Current Price$9.28
Margin of Safety+247.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.84%
Computed WACC: 5.84%
Cost of equity (Re)13.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)43.94%
Debt weight (D/V)56.06%

Results

Current Price$9.28
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-22.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$317.35M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.32

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.59
Current Price$9.28
Upside / Downside-28.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $380.31M
Current: 2.2×
Default: $447.43M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.89
Current Price$9.28
Upside / Downside+6.6%
Implied EV$847.33M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.55B-$552.57M$447.43M$1.45B$2.45B
-1.8x$21.73$-3.00$-27.73$-52.46$-77.19
0.2x$40.54$15.81$-8.92$-33.65$-58.38
2.2x$59.35$34.62$9.89$-14.84$-39.57
4.2x$78.16$53.43$28.70$3.97$-20.76
6.2x$96.97$72.24$47.51$22.78$-1.95