WS

WS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($42.13)
DCF$-15.95-137.9%
Graham Number$35.29-16.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$13.18-68.7%
EV/EBITDA$46.65+10.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.33M
Rev: 18.0% / EPS: 48.0%
Computed: 12.22%
Computed WACC: 12.22%
Cost of equity (Re)13.33%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.74%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.48%
Debt weight (D/V)11.52%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-10.84
Current Price$42.13
Upside / Downside-125.7%
Net Debt (used)$189.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term40.0%44.0%48.0%52.0%56.0%
7.0%$-18.45$-20.64$-23.09$-25.81$-28.84
8.0%$-15.24$-16.94$-18.85$-20.97$-23.32
9.0%$-13.04$-14.42$-15.95$-17.66$-19.56
10.0%$-11.46$-12.60$-13.86$-15.27$-16.84
11.0%$-10.27$-11.23$-12.29$-13.48$-14.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.47
Yahoo: $22.41

Results

Graham Number$35.29
Current Price$42.13
Margin of Safety-16.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.22%
Computed WACC: 12.22%
Cost of equity (Re)13.33%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.74%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.48%
Debt weight (D/V)11.52%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$42.13
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth18.0%
Historical Earnings Growth48.0%
Base FCF (TTM)-$3.33M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.64

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$13.18
Current Price$42.13
Upside / Downside-68.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $244.90M
Current: 10.4×
Default: $189.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$46.65
Current Price$42.13
Upside / Downside+10.7%
Implied EV$2.56B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.81B-$811.00M$189.00M$1.19B$2.19B
6.4x$66.74$47.05$27.37$7.69$-11.99
8.4x$76.38$56.69$37.01$17.33$-2.35
10.4x$86.02$66.34$46.65$26.97$7.29
12.4x$95.66$75.98$56.29$36.61$16.93
14.4x$105.30$85.62$65.93$46.25$26.57