WSM

WSM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($201.34)
DCF$131.95-34.5%
Graham Number$59.17-70.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.0%
DDM$54.38-73.0%
EV/EBITDA$201.34-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $930.35M
Rev: 4.6% / EPS: 4.8%
Computed: 12.13%
Computed WACC: 12.13%
Cost of equity (Re)12.87%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.56 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.25%
Debt weight (D/V)5.75%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$86.99
Current Price$201.34
Upside / Downside-56.8%
Net Debt (used)$581.10M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$133.13$161.03$193.50$231.07$274.35
8.0%$108.57$131.03$157.12$187.28$221.97
9.0%$91.56$110.26$131.95$156.99$185.76
10.0%$79.07$95.02$113.50$134.80$159.25
11.0%$69.50$83.36$99.40$117.85$139.01

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $9.06
Yahoo: $17.18

Results

Graham Number$59.17
Current Price$201.34
Margin of Safety-70.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.13%
Computed WACC: 12.13%
Cost of equity (Re)12.87%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.56 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.25%
Debt weight (D/V)5.75%

Results

Current Price$201.34
Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.1%
Historical Revenue Growth4.6%
Historical Earnings Growth4.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$930.35M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.64

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$54.38
Current Price$201.34
Upside / Downside-73.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.70B
Current: 14.5×
Default: $581.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$201.34
Current Price$201.34
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$24.62B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.42B-$418.90M$581.10M$1.58B$2.58B
10.5x$161.19$152.81$144.44$136.06$127.68
12.5x$189.64$181.26$172.89$164.51$156.13
14.5x$218.09$209.71$201.34$192.96$184.58
16.5x$246.54$238.16$229.79$221.41$213.03
18.5x$274.99$266.61$258.24$249.86$241.48