XGN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($3.55)
DCF	$-34.86	-1081.9%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$7.18M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 37.9% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 10.85%

Computed WACC: 10.85%

Cost of equity (Re)14.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.88 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)74.07%

Debt weight (D/V)25.93%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-25.18

Current Price$3.55

Upside / Downside-809.4%

Net Debt (used)-$7.49M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	29.9%	33.9%	37.9%	41.9%	45.9%
7.0%	$-40.67	$-47.22	$-54.59	$-62.86	$-72.11
8.0%	$-31.94	$-37.07	$-42.84	$-49.30	$-56.53
9.0%	$-25.97	$-30.13	$-34.80	$-40.03	$-45.88
10.0%	$-21.66	$-25.10	$-28.98	$-33.32	$-38.17
11.0%	$-18.40	$-21.32	$-24.60	$-28.27	$-32.37

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.93

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.81

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$3.55

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 10.85%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 10.85%

Cost of equity (Re)14.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.88 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)74.07%

Debt weight (D/V)25.93%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$3.55

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth37.9%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$7.18M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$3.55

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$10.54M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -6.9×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$7.49M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$3.55

Current Price$3.55

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$72.97M

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