XPEL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($42.54)
DCF	$315.33	+641.2%
Graham Number	$19.71	-53.7%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 11.8%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$43.04	+1.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $44.03M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 13.7% / EPS: 49.1%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 11.16%

Computed WACC: 11.16%

Cost of equity (Re)11.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.29 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.10%

Debt weight (D/V)1.90%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$215.84

Current Price$42.54

Upside / Downside+407.4%

Net Debt (used)-$28.00M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	41.1%	45.1%	49.1%	53.1%	57.1%
7.0%	$381.36	$437.52	$500.18	$569.87	$647.18
8.0%	$298.17	$341.88	$390.62	$444.83	$504.94
9.0%	$241.41	$276.62	$315.87	$359.52	$407.92
10.0%	$200.44	$229.52	$261.93	$297.97	$337.91
11.0%	$169.64	$194.12	$221.39	$251.71	$285.31

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $1.70

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $10.15

Results

Graham Number$19.71

Current Price$42.54

Margin of Safety-53.7%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 11.16%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 11.16%

Cost of equity (Re)11.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.29 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.10%

Debt weight (D/V)1.90%

Results

Current Price$42.54

Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.5%

Historical Revenue Growth13.7%

Historical Earnings Growth49.1%

Base FCF (TTM)$44.03M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$42.54

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $75.90M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 15.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$28.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$43.04

Current Price$42.54

Upside / Downside+1.2%

Implied EV$1.16B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.03B	-$1.03B	-$28.00M	$972.00M	$1.97B
11.3x	$104.33	$68.20	$32.07	$-4.06	$-40.18
13.3x	$109.82	$73.69	$37.56	$1.43	$-34.70
15.3x	$115.30	$79.17	$43.04	$6.91	$-29.22
17.3x	$120.79	$84.66	$48.53	$12.40	$-23.73
19.3x	$126.27	$90.14	$54.01	$17.88	$-18.25

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