XPOF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($4.63)
DCF	$16.96	+266.3%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -3.8%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$1.72	-62.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $60.98M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -1.0% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 11.26%

Computed WACC: 11.26%

Cost of equity (Re)12.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.49 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)13.58%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)30.34%

Debt weight (D/V)69.66%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$9.02

Current Price$4.63

Upside / Downside+94.8%

Net Debt (used)$474.13M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$17.22	$23.43	$30.65	$39.01	$48.64
8.0%	$11.76	$16.75	$22.56	$29.27	$36.99
9.0%	$7.97	$12.13	$16.96	$22.53	$28.93
10.0%	$5.19	$8.74	$12.85	$17.59	$23.03
11.0%	$3.07	$6.15	$9.72	$13.82	$18.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1.67

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $-7.63

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$4.63

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 11.26%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 11.26%

Cost of equity (Re)12.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.49 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)13.58%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)30.34%

Debt weight (D/V)69.66%

Results

Current Price$4.63

Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.1%

Historical Revenue Growth-1.0%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$60.98M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$4.63

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $57.65M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 9.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: $474.13M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.72

Current Price$4.63

Upside / Downside-62.9%

Implied EV$534.48M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.53B	-$525.87M	$474.13M	$1.47B	$2.47B
5.3x	$52.03	$23.59	$-4.84	$-33.27	$-61.71
7.3x	$55.31	$26.87	$-1.56	$-30.00	$-58.43
9.3x	$58.58	$30.15	$1.72	$-26.72	$-55.15
11.3x	$61.86	$33.43	$4.99	$-23.44	$-51.87
13.3x	$65.14	$36.71	$8.27	$-20.16	$-48.60

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