XPON — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($0.62)
DCF	$-543.38	-87474.6%
Graham Number	$427.81	+68691.0%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$8.82M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 72.2% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 5.02%

Computed WACC: 5.02%

Cost of equity (Re)5.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.28 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)85.81%

Debt weight (D/V)14.19%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1759.47

Current Price$0.62

Upside / Downside-283019.2%

Net Debt (used)-$3.30M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	64.2%	68.2%	72.2%	76.2%	80.2%
7.0%	$-693.12	$-781.18	$-877.99	$-984.18	$-1100.43
8.0%	$-536.10	$-604.09	$-678.83	$-760.81	$-850.54
9.0%	$-429.30	$-483.65	$-543.38	$-608.90	$-680.60
10.0%	$-352.49	$-397.03	$-445.98	$-499.66	$-558.41
11.0%	$-294.99	$-332.18	$-373.06	$-417.88	$-466.92

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $7798.97

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.04

Results

Graham Number$427.81

Current Price$0.62

Margin of Safety+68691.0%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 5.02%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 5.02%

Cost of equity (Re)5.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.28 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)85.81%

Debt weight (D/V)14.19%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$0.62

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth72.2%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$8.82M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$0.62

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$6.55M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -0.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$3.30M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.65

Current Price$0.62

Upside / Downside+4.3%

Implied EV$2.96M

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