XYL

XYL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($128.98)
DCF$65.39-49.3%
Graham Number$64.47-50.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.5%
DDM$35.43-72.5%
EV/EBITDA$129.84+0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $893.25M
Rev: 6.3% / EPS: 3.0%
Computed: 9.92%
Computed WACC: 9.92%
Cost of equity (Re)10.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.16 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.70%
Debt weight (D/V)7.30%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$56.46
Current Price$128.98
Upside / Downside-56.2%
Net Debt (used)$996.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.7%2.3%6.3%10.3%14.3%
7.0%$66.38$80.50$96.91$115.88$137.70
8.0%$53.69$65.04$78.21$93.41$110.87
9.0%$44.90$54.34$65.28$77.88$92.34
10.0%$38.46$46.50$55.80$66.51$78.78
11.0%$33.53$40.51$48.56$57.83$68.44

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.92
Yahoo: $47.13

Results

Graham Number$64.47
Current Price$128.98
Margin of Safety-50.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.92%
Computed WACC: 9.92%
Cost of equity (Re)10.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.16 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.70%
Debt weight (D/V)7.30%

Results

Current Price$128.98
Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.2%
Historical Revenue Growth6.3%
Historical Earnings Growth3.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$893.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.72

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$35.43
Current Price$128.98
Upside / Downside-72.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.89B
Current: 17.2×
Default: $996.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$129.84
Current Price$128.98
Upside / Downside+0.7%
Implied EV$32.63B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.00B-$4.00M$996.00M$2.00B$3.00B
13.2x$106.95$102.85$98.74$94.64$90.53
15.2x$122.50$118.40$114.29$110.19$106.08
17.2x$138.05$133.95$129.84$125.74$121.63
19.2x$153.60$149.50$145.39$141.29$137.18
21.2x$169.15$165.05$160.94$156.84$152.73