YPF

YPF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($34.89)
DCF$-462841.78-1326674.3%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$37.59+7.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$1.76T
Rev: 36.5% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-463653.90
Current Price$34.89
Upside / Downside-1329002.0%
Net Debt (used)$9.96B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term28.5%32.5%36.5%40.5%44.5%
7.0%$-538719.01$-625691.48$-723673.04$-833683.00$-956801.91
8.0%$-424482.66$-492579.01$-569265.90$-655337.26$-751634.62
9.0%$-346325.71$-401520.51$-463653.90$-533365.87$-611334.80
10.0%$-289751.21$-335617.88$-387229.58$-445115.20$-509835.27
11.0%$-247089.60$-285931.23$-329619.78$-378600.55$-433345.44

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.18
Yahoo: $28.22

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$34.89
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$34.89
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth36.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$1.76T
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$34.89
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.94T
Current: 0.0×
Default: $9.96B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$37.59
Current Price$34.89
Upside / Downside+7.7%
Implied EV$24.71B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.96B$7.96B$9.96B$11.96B$13.96B
-4.0x$-50321.95$-50327.05$-50332.14$-50337.24$-50342.34
-2.0x$-25137.08$-25142.18$-25147.28$-25152.37$-25157.47
0.0x$47.78$42.68$37.59$32.49$27.39
2.0x$25232.65$25227.55$25222.45$25217.36$25212.26
4.0x$50417.51$50412.42$50407.32$50402.22$50397.13