YUM

YUM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($162.92)
DCF$258.14+58.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 20.9%
DDM$61.80-62.1%
EV/EBITDA$162.59-0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.31B
Rev: 6.5% / EPS: 27.7%
Computed: 6.89%
Computed WACC: 6.89%
Cost of equity (Re)7.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.69%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.43%
Debt weight (D/V)22.57%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$435.66
Current Price$162.92
Upside / Downside+167.4%
Net Debt (used)$12.48B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term19.7%23.7%27.7%31.7%35.7%
7.0%$296.60$355.43$422.22$497.78$582.93
8.0%$226.31$272.63$325.19$384.61$451.55
9.0%$178.11$215.86$258.67$307.04$361.52
10.0%$143.12$174.66$210.41$250.78$296.23
11.0%$116.67$143.52$173.93$208.27$246.90

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.56
Yahoo: $-26.44

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$162.92
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.89%
Computed WACC: 6.89%
Cost of equity (Re)7.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.69%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.43%
Debt weight (D/V)22.57%

Results

Current Price$162.92
Implied Near-term FCF Growth13.5%
Historical Revenue Growth6.5%
Historical Earnings Growth27.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.31B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$61.80
Current Price$162.92
Upside / Downside-62.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.91B
Current: 19.8×
Default: $12.48B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$162.59
Current Price$162.92
Upside / Downside-0.2%
Implied EV$57.52B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$6.48B$9.48B$12.48B$15.48B$18.48B
15.8x$142.22$131.39$120.56$109.73$98.90
17.8x$163.24$152.40$141.57$130.74$119.91
19.8x$184.25$173.42$162.59$151.76$140.92
21.8x$205.26$194.43$183.60$172.77$161.94
23.8x$226.27$215.44$204.61$193.78$182.95