Z

Z — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($43.54)
DCF$21.42-50.8%
Graham Number$6.41-85.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 33.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$55.62+27.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $84.75M
Rev: 18.1% / EPS: —
Computed: 14.87%
Computed WACC: 14.87%
Cost of equity (Re)15.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.94%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.85%
Debt weight (D/V)4.15%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$12.48
Current Price$43.54
Upside / Downside-71.3%
Net Debt (used)-$846.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term10.1%14.1%18.1%22.1%26.1%
7.0%$22.72$26.09$29.95$34.35$39.35
8.0%$19.15$21.82$24.87$28.36$32.32
9.0%$16.68$18.88$21.39$24.25$27.49
10.0%$14.89$16.74$18.85$21.25$23.98
11.0%$13.53$15.11$16.92$18.98$21.31

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.09
Yahoo: $20.31

Results

Graham Number$6.41
Current Price$43.54
Margin of Safety-85.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 14.87%
Computed WACC: 14.87%
Cost of equity (Re)15.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.94%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.85%
Debt weight (D/V)4.15%

Results

Current Price$43.54
Implied Near-term FCF Growth50.5%
Historical Revenue Growth18.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$84.75M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$43.54
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $69.00M
Current: 139.1×
Default: -$846.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.62
Current Price$43.54
Upside / Downside+27.7%
Implied EV$9.60B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.85B-$1.85B-$846.00M$154.00M$1.15B
135.1x$64.80$59.48$54.15$48.83$43.50
137.1x$65.53$60.21$54.89$49.56$44.24
139.1x$66.27$60.94$55.62$50.30$44.97
141.1x$67.00$61.68$56.36$51.03$45.71
143.1x$67.74$62.41$57.09$51.77$46.44