ZDGE

ZDGE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.12)
DCF$5.89+89.0%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -10.8%
DDM$1.24-60.3%
EV/EBITDA$3.20+2.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.01M
Rev: 5.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 11.33%
Computed WACC: 11.33%
Cost of equity (Re)11.46%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.30 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.90%
Debt weight (D/V)1.10%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4.69
Current Price$3.12
Upside / Downside+50.6%
Net Debt (used)-$18.04M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-2.2%1.8%5.8%9.8%13.8%
7.0%$5.95$6.85$7.90$9.12$10.52
8.0%$5.14$5.87$6.71$7.69$8.81
9.0%$4.58$5.19$5.89$6.70$7.63
10.0%$4.17$4.69$5.28$5.97$6.76
11.0%$3.86$4.30$4.82$5.42$6.10

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.09
Yahoo: $1.99

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$3.12
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.33%
Computed WACC: 11.33%
Cost of equity (Re)11.46%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.30 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.90%
Debt weight (D/V)1.10%

Results

Current Price$3.12
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-6.3%
Historical Revenue Growth5.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$3.01M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.06

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$1.24
Current Price$3.12
Upside / Downside-60.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.10M
Current: 19.9×
Default: -$18.04M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$3.20
Current Price$3.12
Upside / Downside+2.7%
Implied EV$21.90M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.02B-$1.02B-$18.04M$981.96M$1.98B
15.9x$163.03$82.94$2.85$-77.25$-157.34
17.9x$163.21$83.12$3.02$-77.07$-157.17
19.9x$163.39$83.29$3.20$-76.89$-156.99
21.9x$163.56$83.47$3.38$-76.72$-156.81
23.9x$163.74$83.65$3.55$-76.54$-156.64