ZGN

ZGN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.11)
DCF$269.72+2328.8%
Graham Number$6.37-42.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.1%
DDM$2.88-74.0%
EV/EBITDA$11.56+4.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $128.71M
Rev: -3.4% / EPS: 70.0%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$269.72
Current Price$11.11
Upside / Downside+2328.8%
Net Debt (used)$810.60M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term62.0%66.0%70.0%74.0%78.0%
7.0%$343.34$387.95$437.05$490.97$550.07
8.0%$265.07$299.54$337.47$379.12$424.76
9.0%$211.83$239.39$269.72$303.03$339.52
10.0%$173.52$196.12$220.99$248.30$278.22
11.0%$144.83$163.72$184.50$207.31$232.31

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.44
Yahoo: $4.10

Results

Graham Number$6.37
Current Price$11.11
Margin of Safety-42.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$11.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth13.1%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.4%
Historical Earnings Growth70.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$128.71M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.14

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.88
Current Price$11.11
Upside / Downside-74.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $176.35M
Current: 21.3×
Default: $810.60M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$11.56
Current Price$11.11
Upside / Downside+4.1%
Implied EV$3.75B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.19B-$189.40M$810.60M$1.81B$2.81B
17.3x$16.66$12.72$8.79$4.85$0.92
19.3x$18.05$14.11$10.18$6.24$2.30
21.3x$19.43$15.50$11.56$7.63$3.69
23.3x$20.82$16.89$12.95$9.02$5.08
25.3x$22.21$18.28$14.34$10.40$6.47