ACMR

ACMR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($57.11)
DCF$14.39-74.8%
Graham Number$29.50-48.3%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$69.90+22.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 9.4% / EPS: -75.9%
Computed: 11.91%
Computed WACC: 11.91%
Cost of equity (Re)12.87%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.56 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.56%
Debt weight (D/V)7.44%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$14.39
Current Price$57.11
Upside / Downside-74.8%
Net Debt (used)-$861.58M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.4%5.4%9.4%13.4%17.4%
7.0%$14.39$14.39$14.39$14.39$14.39
8.0%$14.39$14.39$14.39$14.39$14.39
9.0%$14.39$14.39$14.39$14.39$14.39
10.0%$14.39$14.39$14.39$14.39$14.39
11.0%$14.39$14.39$14.39$14.39$14.39

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.72
Yahoo: $22.49

Results

Graham Number$29.50
Current Price$57.11
Margin of Safety-48.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.91%
Computed WACC: 11.91%
Cost of equity (Re)12.87%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.56 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.56%
Debt weight (D/V)7.44%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$57.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth9.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-75.9%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$57.11
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $123.38M
Current: 26.9×
Default: -$861.58M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$69.90
Current Price$57.11
Upside / Downside+22.4%
Implied EV$3.32B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.86B-$1.86B-$861.58M$138.42M$1.14B
22.9x$95.07$78.36$61.66$44.95$28.24
24.9x$99.19$82.49$65.78$49.07$32.37
26.9x$103.32$86.61$69.90$53.19$36.49
28.9x$107.44$90.73$74.02$57.32$40.61
30.9x$111.56$94.85$78.15$61.44$44.73