ADV

ADV — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($0.55)
DCF$3.87+601.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -3.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$0.55-0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $156.29M
Rev: -2.6% / EPS: —
Computed: 1.58%
Computed WACC: 1.58%
Cost of equity (Re)16.20%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.16 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)9.74%
Debt weight (D/V)90.26%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$0.55
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$1.47B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$3.95$5.66$7.64$9.94$12.59
8.0%$2.44$3.82$5.42$7.26$9.39
9.0%$1.40$2.55$3.87$5.41$7.17
10.0%$0.64$1.61$2.74$4.05$5.55
11.0%$0.05$0.90$1.88$3.01$4.31

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.76
Yahoo: $2.17

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$0.55
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 1.58%
Computed WACC: 1.58%
Cost of equity (Re)16.20%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.16 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)9.74%
Debt weight (D/V)90.26%

Results

Current Price$0.55
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$156.29M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$0.55
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $349.83M
Current: 4.7×
Default: $1.47B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.55
Current Price$0.55
Upside / Downside-0.5%
Implied EV$1.66B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.47B$1.47B$1.47B$1.47B$1.47B
0.7x$-3.72$-3.72$-3.72$-3.72$-3.72
2.7x$-1.59$-1.59$-1.59$-1.59$-1.59
4.7x$0.55$0.55$0.55$0.55$0.55
6.7x$2.69$2.69$2.69$2.69$2.69
8.7x$4.82$4.82$4.82$4.82$4.82