ALG

ALG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($216.59)
DCF$207.00-4.4%
Graham Number$143.07-33.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 5.8%
DDM$25.54-88.2%
EV/EBITDA$213.53-1.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $141.74M
Rev: 4.7% / EPS: -7.9%
Computed: 9.65%
Computed WACC: 9.65%
Cost of equity (Re)10.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.12 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.09%
Debt weight (D/V)7.91%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$188.11
Current Price$216.59
Upside / Downside-13.1%
Net Debt (used)-$19.43M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$208.77$250.66$299.40$355.81$420.78
8.0%$171.90$205.62$244.79$290.06$342.15
9.0%$146.36$174.44$207.00$244.59$287.79
10.0%$127.61$151.56$179.30$211.28$247.98
11.0%$113.25$134.06$158.13$185.84$217.60

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $9.63
Yahoo: $94.47

Results

Graham Number$143.07
Current Price$216.59
Margin of Safety-33.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.65%
Computed WACC: 9.65%
Cost of equity (Re)10.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.12 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.09%
Debt weight (D/V)7.91%

Results

Current Price$216.59
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.5%
Historical Revenue Growth4.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-7.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$141.74M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$25.54
Current Price$216.59
Upside / Downside-88.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $218.35M
Current: 11.8×
Default: -$19.43M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$213.53
Current Price$216.59
Upside / Downside-1.4%
Implied EV$2.57B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.02B-$1.02B-$19.43M$980.57M$1.98B
7.8x$306.52$223.98$141.44$58.90$-23.64
9.8x$342.56$260.02$177.48$94.94$12.40
11.8x$378.61$296.07$213.53$130.99$48.45
13.8x$414.65$332.11$249.57$167.03$84.49
15.8x$450.70$368.16$285.62$203.08$120.54