AVB

AVB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($179.01)
DCF$100.96-43.6%
Graham Number$117.47-34.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.6%
DDM$146.67-18.1%
EV/EBITDA$179.03+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.34B
Rev: 3.7% / EPS: -40.9%
Computed: 6.75%
Computed WACC: 6.75%
Cost of equity (Re)8.40%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.74 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)2.98%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.74%
Debt weight (D/V)27.26%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$190.41
Current Price$179.01
Upside / Downside+6.4%
Net Debt (used)$9.31B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$102.39$136.44$176.05$221.89$274.69
8.0%$72.44$99.84$131.67$168.46$210.79
9.0%$51.68$74.49$100.96$131.51$166.61
10.0%$36.44$55.90$78.45$104.44$134.26
11.0%$24.77$41.68$61.24$83.76$109.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.39
Yahoo: $82.99

Results

Graham Number$117.47
Current Price$179.01
Margin of Safety-34.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.75%
Computed WACC: 6.75%
Cost of equity (Re)8.40%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.74 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)2.98%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.74%
Debt weight (D/V)27.26%

Results

Current Price$179.01
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.3%
Historical Revenue Growth3.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-40.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.34B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$146.67
Current Price$179.01
Upside / Downside-18.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.85B
Current: 18.7×
Default: $9.31B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$179.03
Current Price$179.01
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$34.58B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.31B$7.31B$9.31B$11.31B$13.31B
14.7x$155.03$140.86$126.69$112.52$98.35
16.7x$181.20$167.03$152.86$138.69$124.52
18.7x$207.37$193.20$179.03$164.86$150.69
20.7x$233.55$219.37$205.20$191.03$176.86
22.7x$259.72$245.55$231.38$217.21$203.04