AVBC

AVBC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($18.61)
DCF$-7.68-141.3%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$1.03-94.5%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 13.9% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-7.68
Current Price$18.61
Upside / Downside-141.3%
Net Debt (used)$142.36M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term5.9%9.9%13.9%17.9%21.9%
7.0%$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68
8.0%$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68
9.0%$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68
10.0%$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68
11.0%$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.18
Yahoo: $18.88

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$18.61
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$18.61
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth13.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.05

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$1.03
Current Price$18.61
Upside / Downside-94.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $142.36M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-7.68
Current Price$18.61
Upside / Downside-141.3%
Implied EV$0