CSW

CSW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($295.30)
DCF$157.48-46.7%
Graham Number$105.19-64.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 29.4%
DDM$22.25-92.5%
EV/EBITDA$296.45+0.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $80.79M
Rev: 20.3% / EPS: -61.3%
Computed: 7.49%
Computed WACC: 7.49%
Cost of equity (Re)8.82%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.82 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.90%
Debt weight (D/V)15.10%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$230.87
Current Price$295.30
Upside / Downside-21.8%
Net Debt (used)$836.18M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term12.3%16.3%20.3%24.3%28.3%
7.0%$176.68$218.03$265.33$319.20$380.31
8.0%$131.45$164.20$201.62$244.21$292.50
9.0%$100.35$127.19$157.84$192.70$232.19
10.0%$77.72$100.26$125.99$155.23$188.34
11.0%$60.55$79.85$101.85$126.85$155.13

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.59
Yahoo: $64.79

Results

Graham Number$105.19
Current Price$295.30
Margin of Safety-64.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.49%
Computed WACC: 7.49%
Cost of equity (Re)8.82%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.82 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.90%
Debt weight (D/V)15.10%

Results

Current Price$295.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth23.9%
Historical Revenue Growth20.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-61.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$80.79M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.08

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$22.25
Current Price$295.30
Upside / Downside-92.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $236.34M
Current: 24.2×
Default: $836.18M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$296.45
Current Price$295.30
Upside / Downside+0.4%
Implied EV$5.72B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.16B-$163.82M$836.18M$1.84B$2.84B
20.2x$360.49$299.77$239.05$178.34$117.62
22.2x$389.19$328.47$267.75$207.04$146.32
24.2x$417.88$357.17$296.45$235.74$175.02
26.2x$446.58$385.87$325.15$264.44$203.72
28.2x$475.28$414.57$353.85$293.14$232.42