ELAN

ELAN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($26.09)
DCF$22.25-14.7%
Graham Number$4.56-82.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$26.11+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $559.75M
Rev: 12.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 10.92%
Computed WACC: 10.92%
Cost of equity (Re)14.67%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.89 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.47%
Debt weight (D/V)25.53%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$14.84
Current Price$26.09
Upside / Downside-43.1%
Net Debt (used)$3.90B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term4.2%8.2%12.2%16.2%20.2%
7.0%$23.71$29.79$36.81$44.87$54.08
8.0%$17.74$22.60$28.19$34.61$41.94
9.0%$13.63$17.63$22.25$27.54$33.57
10.0%$10.62$14.01$17.91$22.38$27.47
11.0%$8.32$11.25$14.61$18.45$22.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.07
Yahoo: $13.17

Results

Graham Number$4.56
Current Price$26.09
Margin of Safety-82.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.92%
Computed WACC: 10.92%
Cost of equity (Re)14.67%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.89 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.47%
Debt weight (D/V)25.53%

Results

Current Price$26.09
Implied Near-term FCF Growth19.5%
Historical Revenue Growth12.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$559.75M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$26.09
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $908.00M
Current: 18.6×
Default: $3.90B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$26.11
Current Price$26.09
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$16.87B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.90B$2.90B$3.90B$4.90B$5.90B
14.6x$22.82$20.81$18.80$16.78$14.77
16.6x$26.48$24.46$22.45$20.44$18.43
18.6x$30.13$28.12$26.11$24.09$22.08
20.6x$33.79$31.77$29.76$27.75$25.74
22.6x$37.44$35.43$33.42$31.40$29.39