FAF

FAF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($70.11)
DCF$274883.68+391974.8%
Graham Number$85.32+21.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 2.3%
DDM$45.11-35.7%
EV/EBITDA$70.35+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $557.88M
Rev: 21.6% / EPS: 194.5%
Computed: 9.56%
Computed WACC: 9.56%
Cost of equity (Re)11.40%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.29 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.88%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.79%
Debt weight (D/V)27.21%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$243459.86
Current Price$70.11
Upside / Downside+347154.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.20B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term186.5%190.5%194.5%198.5%202.5%
7.0%$400472.05$429210.87$459576.47$491636.99$525462.38
8.0%$304616.24$326474.35$349569.68$373954.02$399680.60
9.0%$239832.97$257040.90$275222.76$294419.32$314672.49
10.0%$193569.58$207456.76$222129.86$237621.79$253966.33
11.0%$159191.38$170610.98$182676.79$195415.87$208856.01

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.00
Yahoo: $53.92

Results

Graham Number$85.32
Current Price$70.11
Margin of Safety+21.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.56%
Computed WACC: 9.56%
Cost of equity (Re)11.40%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.29 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.88%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.79%
Debt weight (D/V)27.21%

Results

Current Price$70.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.7%
Historical Revenue Growth21.6%
Historical Earnings Growth194.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$557.88M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.19

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$45.11
Current Price$70.11
Upside / Downside-35.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20B
Current: 7.0×
Default: $1.20B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$70.35
Current Price$70.11
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$8.37B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.20B$1.20B$1.20B$1.20B$1.20B
3.0x$23.27$23.27$23.27$23.27$23.27
5.0x$46.81$46.81$46.81$46.81$46.81
7.0x$70.35$70.35$70.35$70.35$70.35
9.0x$93.89$93.89$93.89$93.89$93.89
11.0x$117.43$117.43$117.43$117.43$117.43