FCFS

FCFS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($195.23)
DCF$270.36+38.5%
Graham Number$92.97-52.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 22.3%
DDM$34.61-82.3%
EV/EBITDA$195.23-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $232.38M
Rev: 19.8% / EPS: 27.0%
Computed: 5.27%
Computed WACC: 5.27%
Cost of equity (Re)6.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.46 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.03%
Debt weight (D/V)22.97%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$805.51
Current Price$195.23
Upside / Downside+312.6%
Net Debt (used)$2.44B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term19.0%23.0%27.0%31.0%35.0%
7.0%$310.00$373.26$445.14$526.49$618.24
8.0%$235.03$284.86$341.46$405.47$477.63
9.0%$183.60$224.24$270.36$322.50$381.25
10.0%$146.27$180.24$218.77$262.31$311.34
11.0%$118.02$146.96$179.76$216.81$258.51

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.42
Yahoo: $51.77

Results

Graham Number$92.97
Current Price$195.23
Margin of Safety-52.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.27%
Computed WACC: 5.27%
Cost of equity (Re)6.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.46 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.03%
Debt weight (D/V)22.97%

Results

Current Price$195.23
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.1%
Historical Revenue Growth19.8%
Historical Earnings Growth27.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$232.38M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.68

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$34.61
Current Price$195.23
Upside / Downside-82.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $685.03M
Current: 16.1×
Default: $2.44B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$195.23
Current Price$195.23
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$11.03B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$443.46M$1.44B$2.44B$3.44B$4.44B
12.1x$178.40$155.66$132.93$110.19$87.46
14.1x$209.55$186.81$164.08$141.34$118.61
16.1x$240.70$217.96$195.23$172.49$149.76
18.1x$271.85$249.11$226.37$203.64$180.90
20.1x$302.99$280.26$257.52$234.79$212.05