FSS

FSS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($119.57)
DCF$92.77-22.4%
Graham Number$44.16-63.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 30.8%
DDM$12.36-89.7%
EV/EBITDA$116.61-2.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $102.85M
Rev: 26.5% / EPS: 24.2%
Computed: 10.98%
Computed WACC: 10.98%
Cost of equity (Re)11.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.67%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.44%
Debt weight (D/V)7.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$64.95
Current Price$119.57
Upside / Downside-45.7%
Net Debt (used)$530.90M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term18.5%22.5%26.5%30.5%34.5%
7.0%$105.10$124.87$147.35$172.80$201.51
8.0%$81.79$97.38$115.08$135.11$157.70
9.0%$65.81$78.52$92.95$109.27$127.67
10.0%$54.20$64.83$76.89$90.52$105.88
11.0%$45.42$54.47$64.74$76.34$89.41

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.82
Yahoo: $22.69

Results

Graham Number$44.16
Current Price$119.57
Margin of Safety-63.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.98%
Computed WACC: 10.98%
Cost of equity (Re)11.64%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.67%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.44%
Debt weight (D/V)7.56%

Results

Current Price$119.57
Implied Near-term FCF Growth37.1%
Historical Revenue Growth26.5%
Historical Earnings Growth24.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$102.85M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.60

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.36
Current Price$119.57
Upside / Downside-89.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $437.40M
Current: 17.4×
Default: $530.90M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$116.61
Current Price$119.57
Upside / Downside-2.5%
Implied EV$7.62B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.47B-$469.10M$530.90M$1.53B$2.53B
13.4x$120.73$104.28$87.84$71.39$54.95
15.4x$135.11$118.67$102.22$85.78$69.33
17.4x$149.50$133.05$116.61$100.16$83.72
19.4x$163.88$147.44$130.99$114.55$98.10
21.4x$178.27$161.83$145.38$128.94$112.49