GCO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($26.18)
DCF	$-102.31	-490.8%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$26.26	+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$29.48M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 3.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 4.58%

Computed WACC: 4.58%

Cost of equity (Re)14.52%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.86 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)31.53%

Debt weight (D/V)68.47%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-205.50

Current Price$26.18

Upside / Downside-885.0%

Net Debt (used)$586.63M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-102.72	$-112.50	$-123.88	$-137.05	$-152.22
8.0%	$-94.11	$-101.99	$-111.13	$-121.70	$-133.86
9.0%	$-88.15	$-94.70	$-102.31	$-111.08	$-121.17
10.0%	$-83.77	$-89.36	$-95.84	$-103.31	$-111.88
11.0%	$-80.42	$-85.28	$-90.90	$-97.37	$-104.78

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.22

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $47.53

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$26.18

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 4.58%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 4.58%

Cost of equity (Re)14.52%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.86 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)31.53%

Debt weight (D/V)68.47%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$26.18

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth3.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$29.48M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$26.18

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $71.18M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 12.2×

Net Debt($B)Default: $586.63M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$26.26

Current Price$26.18

Upside / Downside+0.3%

Implied EV$870.00M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.41B	-$413.37M	$586.63M	$1.59B	$2.59B
8.2x	$185.19	$92.53	$-0.12	$-92.78	$-185.43
10.2x	$198.38	$105.72	$13.07	$-79.59	$-172.24
12.2x	$211.56	$118.91	$26.26	$-66.40	$-159.05
14.2x	$224.75	$132.10	$39.44	$-53.21	$-145.86
16.2x	$237.94	$145.29	$52.63	$-40.02	$-132.68

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