GEF-B

GEF-B — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($88.42)
DCF$-42.19-147.7%
Graham Number$65.38-26.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM$68.39-22.7%
EV/EBITDA$240.32+171.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -2.2% / EPS: 691.7%
Computed: 7.21%
Computed WACC: 7.21%
Cost of equity (Re)9.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.11%
Debt weight (D/V)22.89%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-42.19
Current Price$88.42
Upside / Downside-147.7%
Net Debt (used)$908.60M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term683.7%687.7%691.7%695.7%699.7%
7.0%$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19
8.0%$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19
9.0%$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19
10.0%$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19
11.0%$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19$-42.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.63
Yahoo: $52.34

Results

Graham Number$65.38
Current Price$88.42
Margin of Safety-26.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.21%
Computed WACC: 7.21%
Cost of equity (Re)9.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.11%
Debt weight (D/V)22.89%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$88.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-2.2%
Historical Earnings Growth691.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.32

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$68.39
Current Price$88.42
Upside / Downside-22.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $578.52M
Current: 10.5×
Default: $908.60M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$240.32
Current Price$88.42
Upside / Downside+171.8%
Implied EV$6.08B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.09B-$91.40M$908.60M$1.91B$2.91B
6.5x$225.74$179.30$132.86$86.42$39.98
8.5x$279.47$233.03$186.59$140.15$93.71
10.5x$333.20$286.76$240.32$193.88$147.45
12.5x$386.93$340.49$294.05$247.61$201.18
14.5x$440.66$394.22$347.78$301.34$254.91