HRTG

HRTG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($28.19)
DCF$57284640.73+203208983.8%
Graham Number$40.33+43.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -7.4%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$26.65-5.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $48.87M
Rev: 0.3% / EPS: 513.0%
Computed: 8.44%
Computed WACC: 8.44%
Cost of equity (Re)9.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.93 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.58%
Debt weight (D/V)10.42%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$65511587.94
Current Price$28.19
Upside / Downside+232392904.4%
Net Debt (used)-$458.77M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term505.0%509.0%513.0%517.0%521.0%
7.0%$90804714.76$93846463.56$96969185.00$100174485.09$103463990.90
8.0%$68602501.67$70900523.93$73259720.45$75681304.53$78166505.43
9.0%$53642984.97$55439895.65$57284640.73$59178168.94$61121441.48
10.0%$42995650.36$44435898.40$45914486.29$47432174.45$48989733.29
11.0%$35112058.01$36288222.89$37495697.58$38735103.09$40007068.56

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.83
Yahoo: $14.96

Results

Graham Number$40.33
Current Price$28.19
Margin of Safety+43.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.44%
Computed WACC: 8.44%
Cost of equity (Re)9.42%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.93 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.58%
Debt weight (D/V)10.42%

Results

Current Price$28.19
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-8.7%
Historical Revenue Growth0.3%
Historical Earnings Growth513.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$48.87M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$28.19
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $220.97M
Current: 1.7×
Default: -$458.77M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$26.65
Current Price$28.19
Upside / Downside-5.5%
Implied EV$365.04M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.46B-$1.46B-$458.77M$541.23M$1.54B
-2.3x$62.76$30.41$-1.94$-34.29$-66.64
-0.3x$77.05$44.70$12.35$-20.00$-52.35
1.7x$91.35$59.00$26.65$-5.70$-38.05
3.7x$105.65$73.30$40.95$8.60$-23.75
5.7x$119.95$87.59$55.24$22.89$-9.46